The Rock · KXMOBILEGAMEAD-27JAN01
The Rock is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 10 inside KXMOBILEGAMEAD-27JAN01.
Price history
25¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If The Rock makes a qualifying appearance in any paid promotional content whose primary purpose is to market, promote, or advertise a mobile game that is available, or intended to be available, on smartphones or tablets before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
The Rock
Rank
#2 of 10
Leader
Shaquille O'Neal 26¢
Range
3¢-26¢
Family volume
$5
Identifier
KXMOBILEGAMEAD-27JAN01-ROC
Jun 25, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
16¢
Ask
26¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$131
Family rank
#2 of 10
10 outcomes · KXMOBILEGAMEAD-27JAN01
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$5
Orderbook snapshot
16 / 26¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If The Rock makes a qualifying appearance in any paid promotional content whose primary purpose is to market, promote, or advertise a mobile game that is available, or intended to be available, on smartphones or tablets before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXMOBILEGAMEAD-27JAN01-ROC
Event family
KXMOBILEGAMEAD-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Shaquille O'Neal 26¢
Current share
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
kalshi · KXMOBILEGAMEAD-27JAN01-SHA
The Rock
kalshi · KXMOBILEGAMEAD-27JAN01-ROC
Scarlett Johansson
kalshi · KXMOBILEGAMEAD-27JAN01-SCA
Paul George
kalshi · KXMOBILEGAMEAD-27JAN01-PAU
Dua Lipa
kalshi · KXMOBILEGAMEAD-27JAN01-DUA
Timothée Chalamet
kalshi · KXMOBILEGAMEAD-27JAN01-TIM
Beyoncé
kalshi · KXMOBILEGAMEAD-27JAN01-BEY
Jay-Z
kalshi · KXMOBILEGAMEAD-27JAN01-JAY
Selena Gomez
kalshi · KXMOBILEGAMEAD-27JAN01-SEL
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXMOBILEGAMEAD-27JAN01-TAY
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.