Before Aug 8, 2026 · Will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?: Before
Before Aug 8, 2026 is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside Will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?: Before.
Price history
24¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If Senate has conducted any recorded vote on the SAVE America Act before Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Aug 8, 2026
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
Before Oct 1, 2026 30¢
Range
1¢-30¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXVOTESAVEAMERICA-26APR-AUG08
Jun 25, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
25¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · Will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?: Before
Closes
Aug 8, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 25¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Senate has conducted any recorded vote on the SAVE America Act before Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 8, 2026
Identifier
KXVOTESAVEAMERICA-26APR-AUG08
Event family
Will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?: Before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Before Oct 1, 2026 30¢
Current share
28%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.