a case about AI and copyright law · KXSCOTUSAICOPYRIGHT-27JAN
a case about AI and copyright law is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
20¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to a case about AI and copyright law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
a case about AI and copyright law
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$48
Identifier
KXSCOTUSAICOPYRIGHT-27JAN-AICOPYRIGHT
Jun 25, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$48
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$48
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 20¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to a case about AI and copyright law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXSCOTUSAICOPYRIGHT-27JAN-AICOPYRIGHT
Event family
KXSCOTUSAICOPYRIGHT-27JAN.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$48
Outcomes
1
Highest price
a case about AI and copyright law 12¢
Current share
100%
a case about AI and copyright law
kalshi · KXSCOTUSAICOPYRIGHT-27JAN-AICOPYRIGHT
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.