Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Apple Inc. in Apple Inc. v. Epic Games, Inc.: Before Aug 1, 2028 · KXSCOTUSCASE-APPEPI28
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Apple Inc. in Apple Inc. v. Epic Games, Inc.: Before Aug 1, 2028 is priced at 77¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
77¢ current
Contract brief
If the Supreme Court, in Apple Inc. v. Epic Games, Inc., rules civil contempt may not be based on violating an injunction’s “spirit” when the injunction does not clearly and unambiguously prohibit the precise conduct at issue, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Apple Inc. in Apple Inc. v. Epic Games, Inc.: Before Aug 1, 2028
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXSCOTUSCASE-APPEPI28
Jul 24, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
73¢
Ask
81¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Aug 1, 2028
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
73 / 81¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Supreme Court, in Apple Inc. v. Epic Games, Inc., rules civil contempt may not be based on violating an injunction’s “spirit” when the injunction does not clearly and unambiguously prohibit the precise conduct at issue, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2028
Identifier
KXSCOTUSCASE-APPEPI28
Event family
KXSCOTUSCASE-APPEPI28.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Apple Inc. in Apple Inc. v. Epic Games, Inc.: Before Aug 1, 2028 73¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 77% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.