Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Cutberto Viramontes, Eddie Grant Jr., other individual plaintiffs in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins: Before Jan 1, 2030 · KXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Cutberto Viramontes, Eddie Grant Jr., other individual plaintiffs in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins: Before Jan 1, 2030 is priced at 78¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 79¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
78¢ current
+42¢Contract brief
If the Supreme Court, in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins, rules the Second and Fourteenth Amendments guarantee a right to possess AR-15-platform and similar semiautomatic rifles, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Cutberto Viramontes, Eddie Grant Jr., other individual plaintiffs in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins: Before Jan 1, 2030
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN
Sep 19, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
79¢
Ask
83¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$5K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2030
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
79 / 83¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Supreme Court, in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins, rules the Second and Fourteenth Amendments guarantee a right to possess AR-15-platform and similar semiautomatic rifles, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2030
Identifier
KXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN
Event family
KXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Cutberto Viramontes, Eddie Grant Jr., other individual plaintiffs in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins: Before Jan 1, 2030 79¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.