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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Thomas Crowther et al. in Crowther v. Board of Regents of the University System of Georgia: Before Aug 1, 2028 · KXSCOTUSCASE-CROBOA28

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Thomas Crowther et al. in Crowther v. Board of Regents of the University System of Georgia: Before Aug 1, 2028 is priced at 35¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

35¢ current

35¢
Jul 24, 2026Jul 24, 2026

Contract brief

If the Supreme Court, in Crowther v. Board of Regents of the University System of Georgia, rules employees of federally funded educational institutions may sue their employers under Title IX for sex discrimination in employment, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Thomas Crowther et al. in Crowther v. Board of Regents of the University System of Georgia: Before Aug 1, 2028

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXSCOTUSCASE-CROBOA28

Jul 24, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

35¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 24, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

31¢

Ask

39¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Aug 1, 2028

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

31 / 39¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
31¢200
11¢42
10¢212
2¢1.5K
AskSize
39¢200
71¢17
72¢271
98¢145
99¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Supreme Court, in Crowther v. Board of Regents of the University System of Georgia, rules employees of federally funded educational institutions may sue their employers under Title IX for sex discrimination in employment, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2028

Identifier

KXSCOTUSCASE-CROBOA28

SF Signal
SF Index
54.99
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXSCOTUSCASE-CROBOA28.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Thomas Crowther et al. in Crowther v. Board of Regents of the University System of Georgia: Before Aug 1, 2028 31¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

110.0%
22.2%
Adj IY
55%
2

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.