Before 2027 · KXTRANSGENDERSPORTSBAN
Before 2027 is priced at 97¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 93¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
97¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If the Supreme Court, in West Virginia v. B.P.J. or Little v. Hecox, rules to uphold state laws restricting transgender athletes in sports, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before 2027
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$48
Identifier
KXTRANSGENDERSPORTSBAN
Jun 26, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
93¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$48
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$48
Orderbook snapshot
93 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Supreme Court, in West Virginia v. B.P.J. or Little v. Hecox, rules to uphold state laws restricting transgender athletes in sports, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTRANSGENDERSPORTSBAN
Event family
KXTRANSGENDERSPORTSBAN.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$48
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Before 2027 93¢
Current share
100%
Before 2027
kalshi · KXTRANSGENDERSPORTSBAN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
maker
Score
0.295
Observability
none
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 97% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.