SimpleFunctions

Teams in the AFC East record at least 34 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season

34+ total wins is priced at 20¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 4 inside Will the teams in the AFC East record at least.

Price history

20¢ current

+18¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jun 25, 2026Jul 11, 2026

Contract brief

If the teams in the AFC East record at least 34 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

34+ total wins

Rank

#4 of 4

Leader

28+ total wins 56¢

Range

15¢-56¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNFLDIVISIONWINS-27AFCEAST-34

Jul 11, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 46m ago

Implied probability

20¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 11, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 46m ago

Bid

15¢

Ask

24¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#4 of 4

4 outcomes · Will the teams in the AFC East record at least

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

15 / 24¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
15¢5
14¢250
12¢500
AskSize
24¢250
26¢500
96¢5.0K
99¢70

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the teams in the AFC East record at least 34 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLDIVISIONWINS-27AFCEAST-34

SF Signal
SF Index
337.15
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the teams in the AFC East record at least.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

4

Highest price

28+ total wins 56¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1011.5%

IY (No)

31.5%

Adj IY

337%

CRI

6

RV

2335%

VR

3.23

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1011.5%
31.5%
Adj IY
337%
6
RV
2335%
VR
3.23
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
0.3%
LAS
0.67

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.