SimpleFunctions

Teams in the AFC South record at least 32 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season

32+ total wins is priced at 52¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 61¢ ask, 18¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Will the teams in the AFC South record at least.

Price history

52¢ current

+20¢
30¢40¢50¢
Jun 25, 2026Jul 11, 2026

Contract brief

If the teams in the AFC South record at least 32 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

32+ total wins

Rank

#3 of 7

Leader

28+ total wins 74¢

Range

5¢-74¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNFLDIVISIONWINS-27AFCSOUTH-32

Jul 11, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

52¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 11, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

43¢

Ask

61¢

Spread

18¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#3 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the teams in the AFC South record at least

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

43 / 61¢

Kalshi
18¢ spread
BidSize
43¢250
41¢500
AskSize
61¢250
62¢500
97¢51
98¢5.0K
99¢25

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the teams in the AFC South record at least 32 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLDIVISIONWINS-27AFCSOUTH-32

SF Signal
SF Index
245.66
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

245.7%

IY (No)

128.8%

Adj IY

246%

CRI

1

RV

401%

VR

2.68

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

245.7%
128.8%
Adj IY
246%
1
RV
401%
VR
2.68
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
1.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.