SimpleFunctions

NFC North · Will the teams in

NFC North is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Will the teams in.

Price history

32¢ current

+30¢
0¢25¢
Jun 25, 2026Jul 13, 2026

Contract brief

If the teams in the NFC North record the most total wins out of any division in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

NFC North

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

NFC North 30¢

Range

12¢-30¢

Family volume

$179

Identifier

KXNFLDIVMOSTWINS-27-NFCNORTH

Jul 14, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

32¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 14, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

30¢

Ask

33¢

Spread

24h volume

$179

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Will the teams in

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Family volume

$179

Orderbook snapshot

30 / 33¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
30¢2.0K
28¢4.0K
12¢107
11¢510
10¢2.1K
AskSize
33¢200
36¢2.0K
37¢4.0K
68¢143
69¢82

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the teams in the NFC North record the most total wins out of any division in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLDIVMOSTWINS-27-NFCNORTH

SF Signal
SF Index
210.75
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the teams in.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$179

Outcomes

3

Highest price

NFC North 30¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

421.5%

IY (No)

77.4%

Adj IY

211%

CRI

2

Overround

-0.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

none

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

421.5%
77.4%
Adj IY
211%
2
Overround
-0.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.