SimpleFunctions

Teams in the NFC West record at least 28 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season

28+ total wins is priced at 96¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 93¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside Will the teams in the NFC West record at least.

Price history

96¢ current

+13¢
50¢75¢100¢
Jun 25, 2026Jul 20, 2026

Contract brief

If the teams in the NFC West record at least 28 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

28+ total wins

Rank

#1 of 8

Leader

28+ total wins 93¢

Range

2¢-93¢

Family volume

$225

Identifier

KXNFLDIVISIONWINS-27NFCWEST-28

Jul 20, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

96¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 20, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

93¢

Ask

98¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 8

8 outcomes · Will the teams in the NFC West record at least

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Family volume

$225

Orderbook snapshot

93 / 98¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
93¢255
92¢500
AskSize
98¢250
99¢525

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the teams in the NFC West record at least 28 total wins in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLDIVISIONWINS-27NFCWEST-28

SF Signal
SF Index
2473.15
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

14.0%

IY (No)

2473.2%

Adj IY

2473%

CRI

13

RV

149%

VR

3.74

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

14.0%
2473.2%
Adj IY
2473%
13
RV
149%
VR
3.74
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
2.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.