Total number of oceangoing transits through the Panama Canal above 1050 in June 2026
Above 1,050 is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will the total number of oceangoing transits through the Panama Canal be above.
Price history
51¢ current
−16¢Contract brief
If the total number of oceangoing transits through the Panama Canal is above 1,050 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 1,050
Rank
#4 of 7
Leader
Above 900 92¢
Range
1¢-92¢
Family volume
$10
Identifier
KXPANAMATRAFFIC-26JUL01-A1050
Jun 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
44¢
Ask
49¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$10
Family rank
#4 of 7
7 outcomes · Will the total number of oceangoing transits through the Panama Canal be above
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Family volume
$10
Orderbook snapshot
44 / 49¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the total number of oceangoing transits through the Panama Canal is above 1,050 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Identifier
KXPANAMATRAFFIC-26JUL01-A1050
Event family
Will the total number of oceangoing transits through the Panama Canal be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$10
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 900 92¢
Current share
100%
Above 900
kalshi · KXPANAMATRAFFIC-26JUL01-A900
Above 950
kalshi · KXPANAMATRAFFIC-26JUL01-A950
Above 1,000
kalshi · KXPANAMATRAFFIC-26JUL01-A1000
Above 1,050
kalshi · KXPANAMATRAFFIC-26JUL01-A1050
Above 1,100
kalshi · KXPANAMATRAFFIC-26JUL01-A1100
Above 1,150
kalshi · KXPANAMATRAFFIC-26JUL01-A1150
Above 1,200
kalshi · KXPANAMATRAFFIC-26JUL01-A1200
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.