Will the total vote count for all participants in California 09 House General Election be above 190000?
This contract is priced at 61¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 57¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 8¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
Above 165K 88¢
Ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CA09-190000
Market snapshot
Above 190K in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the total vote count for all participants in California 09 House General Election be above 190000?. The displayed quote is 61¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the Will the total vote count for all participants in California 09 House General Election be above 1 family, this outcome ranks #4 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC.
Outcome
Above 190K
Family rank
#4 of 5
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
61¢
Quote source
Bid/ask midpoint
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2027
Reported volume
—
Family context
5 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in California 09 House General Election be above 1
Quote range
47¢-88¢
Family leader
Above 165K 88¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC · 11m ago
Venue identifier: KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CA09-190000. Family volume: —.
Price history
61¢ current
+60¢Orderbook snapshot
57 / 65¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the total vote count for all participants in California 09 House General Election is above 190000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CA09-190000
Event family
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 09 House General Election be above 1.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Above 165K 88¢
Current share
—
Above 190K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CA09-190000
Above 165K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CA09-165000
Above 174K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CA09-174000
Above 182K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CA09-182000
Above 198K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CA09-198000
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 61% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.