Will the total vote count for all participants in Connecticut 04 House General Election be above 210000?
This contract is priced at 92¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 8¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
Above 220K 75¢
Ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CT04-210000
Market snapshot
Above 210K in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the total vote count for all participants in Connecticut 04 House General Election be above 210000?. The displayed quote is 92¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the Will the total vote count for all participants in Connecticut 04 House General Election be above 2 family, this outcome ranks #1 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC.
Outcome
Above 210K
Family rank
#1 of 5
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
92¢
Quote source
Bid/ask midpoint
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2027
Reported volume
—
Family context
5 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in Connecticut 04 House General Election be above 2
Quote range
38¢-88¢
Family leader
Above 210K 88¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC · 6m ago
Venue identifier: KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CT04-210000. Family volume: —.
Price history
92¢ current
+91¢Orderbook snapshot
88 / 96¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the total vote count for all participants in Connecticut 04 House General Election is above 210000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CT04-210000
Event family
Will the total vote count for all participants in Connecticut 04 House General Election be above 2.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Above 210K 88¢
Current share
—
Above 210K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CT04-210000
Above 220K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CT04-220000
Above 240K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CT04-240000
Above 250K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CT04-250000
Above 260K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CT04-260000
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 92% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.