SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2027541 days left

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Hampshire Governor General Election be above 680000?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

22¢
$10 volume
$10 liquidity

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Above 590K 91¢

Ticker

KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NHGOV-680000

Market snapshot

Above 680K in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the total vote count for all participants in New Hampshire Governor General Election be above 680000?. The displayed quote is 22¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $10. In the Will the total vote count for all participants in New Hampshire Governor General Election be above family, this outcome ranks #4 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC.

Outcome

Above 680K

Family rank

#4 of 5

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

22¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Nov 3, 2027

Reported volume

$10

Family context

5 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in New Hampshire Governor General Election be above

Quote range

10¢-91¢

Family leader

Above 590K 91¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NHGOV-680000. Family volume: .

Price history

22¢ current

+3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 6, 2026May 10, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 25¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
21¢512
20¢10
19¢100
18¢200
3¢200
AskSize
25¢512
27¢100
29¢200
84¢200
85¢2.5K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the total vote count for all participants in New Hampshire Governor General Election is above 680000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NHGOV-680000

SF Signal
SF Index
102.79
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Hampshire Governor General Election be above.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Above 590K 91¢

Current share

Browse this series

2026 Election Voter Turnout Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMIDTERMVOTETURN series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

254.0%

IY (No)

17.9%

Adj IY

103%

CRI

4

Overround

1.1%

LAS

0.19

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

254.0%
17.9%
Adj IY
103%
4
Overround
1.1%
LAS
0.19

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.