Total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary above 70000
Above 70k is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 5 inside Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be above.
Price history
13¢ current
−35¢Contract brief
If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary is above 70000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 70k
Rank
#4 of 5
Leader
Above 55k 66¢
Range
5¢-66¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY7D26-70000
Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$735
Family rank
#4 of 5
5 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be above
Closes
Jun 23, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary is above 70000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 23, 2027
Identifier
KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY7D26-70000
Event family
Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Above 55k 66¢
Current share
36%
Above 55k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY7D26-55000
Above 60k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY7D26-60000
Above 65k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY7D26-65000
Above 70k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY7D26-70000
Above 75k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY7D26-75000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.