Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will the UFC host a fight at the White House by the US' 250th anniversary?"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 92¢ (92% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on July 5, 2026. 66 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Will the UFC host a fight at the White House by the US' 250th anniversary?"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 54.4% and 5559.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Will the UFC host a fight at the White House by the US' 250th anniversary?"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	54.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	5559.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2779%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	10	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution

Will the UFC host a fight at the White House by the US' 250th anniversary?

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions