Before 2029 · KXHARVARDFUNDAPPEAL-HHS29
Before 2029 is priced at 47¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 17¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
47¢ current
+45¢Contract brief
If the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit affirms in its entirety the district court's October 20, 2025 final judgment for Harvard in President and Fellows of Harvard College v. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, No. 25-2230 (1st Cir.) before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before 2029
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXHARVARDFUNDAPPEAL-HHS29
Aug 26, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
34¢
Ask
51¢
Spread
17¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2029
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
34 / 51¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit affirms in its entirety the district court's October 20, 2025 final judgment for Harvard in President and Fellows of Harvard College v. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, No. 25-2230 (1st Cir.) before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2029
Identifier
KXHARVARDFUNDAPPEAL-HHS29
Event family
KXHARVARDFUNDAPPEAL-HHS29.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Before 2029 34¢
Current share
100%
Before 2029
kalshi · KXHARVARDFUNDAPPEAL-HHS29
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.