SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 20, 2029987 days left

Will the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?

This contract is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

38¢
$3K volume
$2K liquidity
3672% of event volume

Event outcomes

10

Family volume

$95

Best sibling

United Nations 26¢

Ticker

KXWITHDRAW-29-WTO

Market snapshot

World Trade Organization in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?. The displayed quote is 38¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $3K. In the Will the U.S. withdraw from family, this outcome ranks #1 of 10 by current quote across 10 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

World Trade Organization

Family rank

#1 of 10

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

38¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 20, 2029

Reported volume

$3K

Family context

10 outcomes · Will the U.S. withdraw from

Quote range

2¢-36¢

Family leader

World Trade Organization 36¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC · 14m ago

Venue identifier: KXWITHDRAW-29-WTO. Family volume: $95.

Price history

38¢ current

+4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 15, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

36 / 38¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
36¢186
34¢200
33¢308
32¢1
13¢200
AskSize
38¢6
39¢32
40¢150
43¢100
45¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the United States completely withdraws from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 20, 2029

Identifier

KXWITHDRAW-29-WTO

Event family

Will the U.S. withdraw from.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$95

Outcomes

10

Highest price

World Trade Organization 36¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

65.7%

IY (No)

20.8%

Adj IY

33%

CRI

2

Overround

0.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

65.7%
20.8%
Adj IY
33%
2
Overround
0.5%

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