World Trade Organization · Will the U.S. withdraw from
World Trade Organization is priced at 34¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 33¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 10 inside Will the U.S. withdraw from.
Price history
34¢ current
Contract brief
If the United States completely withdraws from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
World Trade Organization
Rank
#1 of 10
Leader
World Trade Organization 33¢
Range
2¢-33¢
Family volume
$5
Identifier
KXWITHDRAW-29-WTO
Jun 24, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
33¢
Ask
34¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#1 of 10
10 outcomes · Will the U.S. withdraw from
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Family volume
$5
Orderbook snapshot
33 / 34¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the United States completely withdraws from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Identifier
KXWITHDRAW-29-WTO
Event family
Will the U.S. withdraw from.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5
Outcomes
10
Highest price
World Trade Organization 33¢
Current share
0%
World Trade Organization
kalshi · KXWITHDRAW-29-WTO
United Nations
kalshi · KXWITHDRAW-29-UN
OECD
kalshi · KXWITHDRAW-29-OECD
World Bank Group
kalshi · KXWITHDRAW-29-WBANK
Inter-American Development Bank
kalshi · KXWITHDRAW-29-IDB
International Monetary Fund
kalshi · KXWITHDRAW-29-IMF
Interpol
kalshi · KXWITHDRAW-29-INTERPOL
International Atomic Energy Agency
kalshi · KXWITHDRAW-29-IAEA
G20
kalshi · KXWITHDRAW-29-G20
G7
kalshi · KXWITHDRAW-29-G7
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.