SimpleFunctions

Washington pro football team win at least 6 games this season

6+ wins is priced at 70¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 13 inside Will the Washington pro football team win at least.

Price history

70¢ current

+8¢
50¢60¢70¢
Sep 9, 2026Oct 10, 2026

Contract brief

If the Washington Pro Football team wins at least 6 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

6+ wins

Rank

#5 of 13

Leader

2+ wins 98¢

Range

1¢-98¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXNFLWINS-27WAS-6

Oct 10, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 24h ago

Implied probability

70¢
Latest venue quote
Oct 10, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 24h ago

Bid

70¢

Ask

71¢

Spread

1¢

24h volume

$404

Family rank

#5 of 13

13 outcomes · Will the Washington pro football team win at least

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

70 / 71¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
70¢200K
69¢423
60¢95
59¢93
58¢172
AskSize
72¢1.1K
73¢200K
74¢12
75¢366

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Washington Pro Football team wins at least 6 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLWINS-27WAS-6

SF Signal
SF Index
427.82
Regime
taker

Browse this series

NFL Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNFLWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

157.2%

IY (No)

855.6%

Adj IY

428%

CRI

2

Overround

3.8%

Regime

taker

Score

0.614

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

157.2%
855.6%
Adj IY
428%
2
Overround
3.8%

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.