SimpleFunctions

THIS & THAT by Stray Kids have above 75000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026 tracking week

Above 75K is priced at 97¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 94¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Will THIS & THAT by Stray Kids have above.

Price history

97¢ current

+5¢
90¢95¢100¢
Jul 16, 2026Aug 2, 2026

Contract brief

If THIS & THAT by Stray Kids has above 75K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 75K

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Above 75K 94¢

Range

2¢-94¢

Family volume

$21

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-THI26AUG13-75K

Aug 5, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

97¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 5, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

94¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

Reported volume

$125

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · Will THIS & THAT by Stray Kids have above

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Family volume

$21

Orderbook snapshot

94 / 97¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
94¢200
60¢125
20¢1
4¢58
AskSize
97¢1
99¢2

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If THIS & THAT by Stray Kids has above 75K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-THI26AUG13-75K

SF Signal
SF Index
24709.51
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

208.0%

IY (No)

51047.4%

Adj IY

24710%

CRI

16

Overround

7.9%

LAS

0.03

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

208.0%
51047.4%
Adj IY
24710%
16
Overround
7.9%
LAS
0.03

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.