SimpleFunctions

THIS & THAT by Stray Kids have above 225000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026 tracking week

Above 225K is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 80¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside Will THIS & THAT by Stray Kids have above.

Price history

96¢ current

+94¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 10, 2026Aug 8, 2026

Contract brief

If THIS & THAT by Stray Kids has above 225K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 225K

Rank

#8 of 16

Leader

Above 50K 95¢

Range

1¢-95¢

Family volume

$239

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-THI26AUG13-225K

Aug 8, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

96¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 8, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

80¢

Ask

88¢

Spread

24h volume

$216

Family rank

#8 of 16

16 outcomes · Will THIS & THAT by Stray Kids have above

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Family volume

$239

Orderbook snapshot

80 / 88¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
80¢5
79¢66
71¢50
58¢152
55¢100
AskSize
88¢5
89¢66
96¢54
97¢100
99¢1

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If THIS & THAT by Stray Kids has above 225K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-THI26AUG13-225K

SF Signal
SF Index
18653.38
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1165.8%

IY (No)

18653.4%

Adj IY

18653%

CRI

4

RV

157%

VR

0.44

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1165.8%
18653.4%
Adj IY
18653%
4
RV
157%
VR
0.44
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
8.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.