Out before Jul 17, 2026 · Will Thomas Tuchel be out before
Out before Jul 17, 2026 is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 6 inside Will Thomas Tuchel be out before.
Price history
1¢ current
−47¢Contract brief
If Thomas Tuchel ceases to be the manager of England National Football Team before Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Out before Jul 17, 2026
Rank
#6 of 6
Leader
Out before Jul 10, 2028 88¢
Range
1¢-88¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXMANAGEROUTDATE-28TUCHEL-26JUL17
Jul 14, 2026, 1:09 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$400
Family rank
#6 of 6
6 outcomes · Will Thomas Tuchel be out before
Closes
Jul 17, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Thomas Tuchel ceases to be the manager of England National Football Team before Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 17, 2026
Identifier
KXMANAGEROUTDATE-28TUCHEL-26JUL17
Event family
Will Thomas Tuchel be out before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Out before Jul 10, 2028 88¢
Current share
36%
Out before Jul 10, 2028
kalshi · KXMANAGEROUTDATE-28TUCHEL-28JUL10
Out before Jun 1, 2028
kalshi · KXMANAGEROUTDATE-28TUCHEL-28JUN01
Out before Jan 1, 2028
kalshi · KXMANAGEROUTDATE-28TUCHEL-28JAN01
Out before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · KXMANAGEROUTDATE-28TUCHEL-27JAN01
Out before Aug 1, 2026
kalshi · KXMANAGEROUTDATE-28TUCHEL-26AUG01
Out before Jul 17, 2026
kalshi · KXMANAGEROUTDATE-28TUCHEL-26JUL17
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.