Group E · Will three teams qualify from Group
Group E is priced at 51¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 65¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 12 inside Will three teams qualify from Group.
Price history
51¢ current
+49¢Contract brief
If 3 teams qualify from Group E to advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Group E
Rank
#4 of 12
Leader
Group B 88¢
Range
13¢-88¢
Family volume
$7K
Identifier
KXWC3RDPLACEQUAL-26-E
Jun 25, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
83¢
Spread
65¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#4 of 12
12 outcomes · Will three teams qualify from Group
Closes
Jul 5, 2026
Family volume
$7K
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 83¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If 3 teams qualify from Group E to advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 5, 2026
Identifier
KXWC3RDPLACEQUAL-26-E
Event family
Will three teams qualify from Group.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7K
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Group B 88¢
Current share
0%
Group B
kalshi · KXWC3RDPLACEQUAL-26-B
Group A
kalshi · KXWC3RDPLACEQUAL-26-A
Group G
kalshi · KXWC3RDPLACEQUAL-26-G
Group F
kalshi · KXWC3RDPLACEQUAL-26-F
Group E
kalshi · KXWC3RDPLACEQUAL-26-E
Group H
kalshi · KXWC3RDPLACEQUAL-26-H
Group K
kalshi · KXWC3RDPLACEQUAL-26-K
Group C
kalshi · KXWC3RDPLACEQUAL-26-C
Group D
kalshi · KXWC3RDPLACEQUAL-26-D
Group J
kalshi · KXWC3RDPLACEQUAL-26-J
Group L
kalshi · KXWC3RDPLACEQUAL-26-L
Group I
kalshi · KXWC3RDPLACEQUAL-26-I
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
Read 51% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.