Will ThunderTalk Gaming win the ThunderTalk Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming League of Legends match
Will ThunderTalk Gaming win the ThunderTalk Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming League of Legends match is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
12¢ current
Contract brief
If ThunderTalk Gaming wins the LPL 2026: ThunderTalk Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jul 23, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will ThunderTalk Gaming win the ThunderTalk Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming League of Legends match
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXLOLGAME-26JUL230700TTBLG-TT
Jul 22, 2026, 8:54 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$940
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 25, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 12¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If ThunderTalk Gaming wins the LPL 2026: ThunderTalk Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jul 23, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 25, 2026
Identifier
KXLOLGAME-26JUL230700TTBLG-TT
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will ThunderTalk Gaming win the ThunderTalk Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming League of Legends match 12¢
Current share
100%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.