Tie 2nd Half · KXWC2H-26JUL15ENGARG
Tie 2nd Half is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside KXWC2H-26JUL15ENGARG.
Price history
40¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Tie is the result of the second half in the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie 2nd Half
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Tie 2nd Half 39¢
Range
30¢-39¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KXWC2H-26JUL15ENGARG-TIE
Jul 14, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
39¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$74
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · KXWC2H-26JUL15ENGARG
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
39 / 40¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie is the result of the second half in the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Identifier
KXWC2H-26JUL15ENGARG-TIE
Event family
KXWC2H-26JUL15ENGARG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Tie 2nd Half 39¢
Current share
2%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.