SimpleFunctions

Tie · KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26

Tie is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26.

Price history

5¢ current

5¢
Jun 26, 2026Jun 26, 2026

Contract brief

If the participants tie in the Solheim Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tie

Rank

#3 of 3

Leader

United States 49¢

Range

2¢-49¢

Family volume

$33

Identifier

KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26-TIE

Jun 26, 2026, 5:52 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

5¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 5:52 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#3 of 3

3 outcomes · KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26

Closes

Sep 12, 2028

Family volume

$33

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 5¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.5K
2¢250
AskSize
5¢109
6¢250
7¢500
8¢500
15¢1

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the participants tie in the Solheim Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 12, 2028

Identifier

KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26-TIE

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$33

Outcomes

3

Highest price

United States 49¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.