SimpleFunctions

Europe · KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26

Europe is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26.

Price history

40¢ current

40¢45¢
Jul 20, 2026Jul 29, 2026

Contract brief

If the country of Europe wins the Solheim Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Europe

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

United States 53¢

Range

5¢-53¢

Family volume

$84

Identifier

KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26-EU

Aug 9, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

40¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 9, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

40¢

Ask

41¢

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26

Closes

Sep 12, 2028

Family volume

$84

Orderbook snapshot

40 / 41¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
40¢52
39¢350
38¢511
37¢500
25¢90
AskSize
41¢349
43¢500
44¢500
48¢10
49¢197

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the country of Europe wins the Solheim Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 12, 2028

Identifier

KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26-EU

SF Signal
SF Index
35.80
Regime
taker

Event family

KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$84

Outcomes

3

Highest price

United States 53¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

71.6%

IY (No)

31.8%

Adj IY

36%

CRI

2

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

71.6%
31.8%
Adj IY
36%
2
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.