SimpleFunctions

United States · KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26

United States is priced at 62¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 59¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26.

Price history

62¢ current

+15¢
50¢60¢
May 23, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If the United States wins the Solheim Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

United States

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

United States 59¢

Range

2¢-59¢

Family volume

$34

Identifier

KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26-USA

Jun 23, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

62¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

59¢

Ask

62¢

Spread

24h volume

$4

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26

Closes

Sep 12, 2028

Family volume

$34

Orderbook snapshot

59 / 62¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
59¢1
58¢2
56¢250
54¢500
53¢500
AskSize
62¢251
64¢500
65¢500
69¢3
75¢1

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the United States wins the Solheim Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 12, 2028

Identifier

KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26-USA

SF Signal
SF Index
59.55
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXPGASOLHEIM-SC26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$34

Outcomes

3

Highest price

United States 59¢

Current share

12%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

33.9%

IY (No)

59.6%

Adj IY

60%

CRI

1

RV

155%

VR

2.77

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

33.9%
59.6%
Adj IY
60%
1
RV
155%
VR
2.77
IAR
0.3/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.