SimpleFunctions

Together · KXISRAEL3RD-26OCT27-3

Together is priced at 55¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 54¢ bid, 58¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXISRAEL3RD-26OCT27-3.

Price history

55¢ current

+53¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 29, 2026Sep 19, 2026

Contract brief

If Together finishes in 3rd place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Together

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Together 47¢

Range

1¢-47¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXISRAEL3RD-26OCT27-3-TOG

Sep 22, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

55¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 22, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

54¢

Ask

58¢

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · KXISRAEL3RD-26OCT27-3

Closes

Oct 27, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

54 / 58¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
54¢5
49¢13
48¢200
29¢114
28¢44
AskSize
58¢200
86¢35
88¢47
89¢456
90¢20

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Together finishes in 3rd place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 27, 2027

Identifier

KXISRAEL3RD-26OCT27-3-TOG

SF Signal
SF Index
51.46
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

102.9%

IY (No)

80.9%

Adj IY

51%

CRI

1

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

102.9%
80.9%
Adj IY
51%
1
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.