Tony Pollard · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10
Tony Pollard is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 98¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10.
Price history
35¢ current
+23¢Contract brief
If Tony Pollard records 10+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tony Pollard
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Cam Skattebo 75¢
Range
1¢-75¢
Family volume
$533
Identifier
KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-TPOLLARD20
Sep 20, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
98¢
Reported volume
$380
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10
Closes
Feb 2, 2027
Family volume
$533
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tony Pollard records 10+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 2, 2027
Identifier
KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-TPOLLARD20
Event family
KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$533
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Cam Skattebo 75¢
Current share
0%
Cam Skattebo
kalshi · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-CSKATTEBO44
Christian McCaffrey
kalshi · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-CMCCAFFREY23
David Montgomery
kalshi · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-DMONTGOMERY32
Kenneth Walker III
kalshi · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-KWALKER9
Ashton Jeanty
kalshi · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-AJEANTY2
Tony Pollard
kalshi · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-TPOLLARD20
Bijan Robinson
kalshi · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-BROBINSON7
Chase Brown
kalshi · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-CBROWN30
Bhayshul Tuten
kalshi · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-BTUTEN33
Breece Hall
kalshi · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-BHALL20
Chuba Hubbard
kalshi · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-CHUBBARD30
Blake Corum
kalshi · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-BCORUM24
Bucky Irving
kalshi · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-BIRVING7
Jaxson Dart
kalshi · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-JDART6
James Cook III
kalshi · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-JCOOK4
Alvin Kamara
kalshi · KXNFLSEASONRSHTD-27C10-AKAMARA41
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket
Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 35% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.