SimpleFunctions
KalshiFeb 1, 2027268 days left

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $140 billion?

This contract is priced at 78¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 72¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Implied probability

78¢
$1 volume
$1 liquidity

Event outcomes

10

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Above $130 billion 87¢

Ticker

KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T140

Market snapshot

Above $140 billion in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $140 billion?. The displayed quote is 78¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1. In the Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $ family, this outcome ranks #2 of 10 by current quote across 10 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Above $140 billion

Family rank

#2 of 10

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

78¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Feb 1, 2027

Reported volume

$1

Family context

10 outcomes · Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $

Quote range

1¢-87¢

Family leader

Above $130 billion 87¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 4m ago

Venue identifier: KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T140. Family volume: .

Price history

78¢ current

+9¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026Apr 29, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

72 / 78¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
72¢100
69¢250
18¢254
17¢956
AskSize
78¢250
94¢13
95¢84
97¢46
98¢785

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 is above $140 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T140

Event family

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

10

Highest price

Above $130 billion 87¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

52.9%

IY (No)

349.7%

Adj IY

175%

CRI

3

Overround

2.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

52.9%
349.7%
Adj IY
175%
3
Overround
2.1%

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