Trevor Lawrence · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3
Trevor Lawrence is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 79¢ ask, 66¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3.
Price history
15¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If Trevor Lawrence finishes top 3 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Trevor Lawrence
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Josh Allen 60¢
Range
1¢-60¢
Family volume
$33
Identifier
KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-TLAWRENCE16
Sep 21, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
79¢
Spread
66¢
24h volume
$315
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Family volume
$33
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 79¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Trevor Lawrence finishes top 3 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Identifier
KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-TLAWRENCE16
Event family
KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$33
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Josh Allen 60¢
Current share
0%
Josh Allen
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-JALLEN17
Lamar Jackson
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-LJACKSON8
Caleb Williams
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-CWILLIAMS18
Trevor Lawrence
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-TLAWRENCE16
Jalen Hurts
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-JHURTS1
Joe Burrow
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-JBURROW9
Justin Herbert
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-JHERBERT10
Matthew Stafford
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-MSTAFFORD9
Drake Maye
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-DMAYE10
Brock Purdy
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-BPURDY13
Jayden Daniels
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-JDANIELS5
Jaxson Dart
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-JDART6
Patrick Mahomes
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-PMAHOMES15
Kyler Murray
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-KMURRAY1
Dak Prescott
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-DPRESCOTT4
Bo Nix
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-BNIX10
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.