Trey Gowdy · KXNEXTSCSENATOR-27JAN04
Trey Gowdy is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 9 inside KXNEXTSCSENATOR-27JAN04.
Price history
1¢ current
−19¢Contract brief
If Trey Gowdy formally holds the position of the Class 2 U.S. Senator from South Carolina before Jan 4, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Trey Gowdy
Rank
#2 of 9
Leader
Darline Graham Nordone 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$191K
Identifier
KXNEXTSCSENATOR-27JAN04-TGOW
Jul 14, 2026, 5:43 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#2 of 9
9 outcomes · KXNEXTSCSENATOR-27JAN04
Closes
Jan 11, 2027
Family volume
$191K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Trey Gowdy formally holds the position of the Class 2 U.S. Senator from South Carolina before Jan 4, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 11, 2027
Identifier
KXNEXTSCSENATOR-27JAN04-TGOW
Event family
KXNEXTSCSENATOR-27JAN04.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$191K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Darline Graham Nordone 99¢
Current share
1%
Darline Graham Nordone
kalshi · KXNEXTSCSENATOR-27JAN04-DNOR
Pamela Evette
kalshi · KXNEXTSCSENATOR-27JAN04-PEVE
Russell Fry
kalshi · KXNEXTSCSENATOR-27JAN04-RFRY
Nikki Haley
kalshi · KXNEXTSCSENATOR-27JAN04-NHAL
Mark Lynch
kalshi · KXNEXTSCSENATOR-27JAN04-MLYN
Nancy Mace
kalshi · KXNEXTSCSENATOR-27JAN04-NMAC
Ralph Norman
kalshi · KXNEXTSCSENATOR-27JAN04-RNOR
Trey Gowdy
kalshi · KXNEXTSCSENATOR-27JAN04-TGOW
Scott Bessent
kalshi · KXNEXTSCSENATOR-27JAN04-SBES
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.