SimpleFunctions

Trey McBride · KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C750

Trey McBride is priced at 77¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 66¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C750.

Price history

77¢ current

+76¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jul 31, 2026Aug 19, 2026

Contract brief

If Trey McBride records 750+ receiving yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Trey McBride

Rank

#12 of 16

Leader

DJ Moore 60¢

Range

5¢-60¢

Family volume

$660

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C750-TMCBRIDE85

Aug 19, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

77¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 19, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

77¢

Spread

66¢

Reported volume

$23

Family rank

#12 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C750

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$660

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 77¢

Kalshi
66¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
11¢5
10¢10
2¢18
AskSize
77¢67
84¢500
85¢500
92¢90
96¢1.4K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Trey McBride records 750+ receiving yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C750-TMCBRIDE85

SF Signal
SF Index
883.89
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1767.8%

IY (No)

27.0%

Adj IY

884%

CRI

8

Overround

15.0%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

1767.8%
27.0%
Adj IY
884%
8
Overround
15.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.