Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week
At least 15 is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 99¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Will Trump endorse at least.
Price history
99¢ current
+83¢Contract brief
If Donald Trump endorses at least 15 people for their election on Truth Social from Jun 21, 2026 through Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 15
Rank
#1 of 7
Leader
At least 15 99¢
Range
15¢-99¢
Family volume
$7K
Identifier
KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN27-A15
Jun 22, 2026, 9:07 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
99¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#1 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Trump endorse at least
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Family volume
$7K
Orderbook snapshot
99 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Donald Trump endorses at least 15 people for their election on Truth Social from Jun 21, 2026 through Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN27-A15
Event family
Will Trump endorse at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
At least 15 99¢
Current share
17%
At least 10
kalshi · KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN27-A10
At least 3
kalshi · KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN27-A3
At least 15
kalshi · KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN27-A15
At least 20
kalshi · KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN27-A20
At least 5
kalshi · KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN27-A5
At least 25
kalshi · KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN27-A25
At least 50
kalshi · KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26JUN27-A50
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.