Anthropic / Claude · Will Trump say "
Anthropic / Claude is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #16 of 16 inside Will Trump say ".
Price history
22¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If Anthropic / Claude, or a plural or possessive form of Anthropic / Claude, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Anthropic / Claude
Rank
#16 of 16
Leader
Honda / HMC 99¢
Range
20¢-99¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-ANTH
Sep 7, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
20¢
Ask
21¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1
Family rank
#16 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Trump say "
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
20 / 21¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Anthropic / Claude, or a plural or possessive form of Anthropic / Claude, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-ANTH
Event family
Will Trump say ".
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Honda / HMC 99¢
Current share
0%
Honda / HMC
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-HMC
Netflix / NFLX
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-NFLX
Dell
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-DELL
Turning Point
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-TPUSA
Uber
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-UBER
MS NOW / MSNBC
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-MSNBC
BBC
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-BBC
Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-MERC
TSMC / TSM
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-TSM
AMD
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-AMD
ChatGPT / OpenAI
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-CHAT
Oracle / ORCL
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-ORCL
Mastercard / MA
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-MA
SpaceX / SPCX
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-SPCX
Tesla / TSLA
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-TSLA
Anthropic / Claude
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01-ANTH
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.