Crypto / Bitcoin · Will Trump say "
Crypto / Bitcoin is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside Will Trump say ".
Price history
4¢ current
−5¢Contract brief
If Crypto / Bitcoin, or a plural or possessive form of Crypto / Bitcoin, is stated by Donald Trump after June 22nd, 2026 at 11am ET and before Jun 29, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Crypto / Bitcoin
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$210K
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-CRYP
Jun 28, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Trump say "
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Family volume
$210K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Crypto / Bitcoin, or a plural or possessive form of Crypto / Bitcoin, is stated by Donald Trump after June 22nd, 2026 at 11am ET and before Jun 29, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-CRYP
Event family
Will Trump say ".
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$210K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome 99¢
Current share
1%
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-TDS
22
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-22
Pulte
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-PULT
Ballroom
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-BALL
50,000
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-50
Who are you with / Where are you from
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-WHO
Cuba / Cuban
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-CUBA
Uranium
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-URAN
Newscum
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-NEWS
Stupid Question
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-STUP
American Flag Blue
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-AMER
Epstein
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-EPST
Crypto / Bitcoin
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-CRYP
Golden Dome
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-GOLD
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-MARI
Juneteenth
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAY-26JUN29-JUNE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.