Ulrich Siegmund · KXSAXANHMP-26OCT06
Ulrich Siegmund is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXSAXANHMP-26OCT06.
Price history
37¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If Ulrich Siegmund wins the Saxony-Anhalt Minister-President election following the 2026 state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ulrich Siegmund
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Ulrich Siegmund 37¢
Range
3¢-37¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXSAXANHMP-26OCT06-USIE
Aug 21, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
37¢
Ask
43¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$584
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · KXSAXANHMP-26OCT06
Closes
Oct 6, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
37 / 43¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ulrich Siegmund wins the Saxony-Anhalt Minister-President election following the 2026 state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 6, 2027
Identifier
KXSAXANHMP-26OCT06-USIE
Event family
KXSAXANHMP-26OCT06.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Ulrich Siegmund 37¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.