US building permits for June 2026 above 1.300M
Above 1.300M is priced at 91¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will US building permits for June 2026 be above 1.
Price history
91¢ current
+67¢Contract brief
If the value of US building permits (total units) for June 2026 is above 1.300M (SAAR), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 1.300M
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
Above 1.250M 94¢
Range
3¢-94¢
Family volume
$687
Identifier
KXBUILDPERMS-26JUL17-T1.300
Jun 24, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
88¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$513
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · Will US building permits for June 2026 be above 1
Closes
Jul 17, 2026
Family volume
$687
Orderbook snapshot
88 / 91¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the value of US building permits (total units) for June 2026 is above 1.300M (SAAR), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 17, 2026
Identifier
KXBUILDPERMS-26JUL17-T1.300
Event family
Will US building permits for June 2026 be above 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$687
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 1.250M 94¢
Current share
0%
Above 1.250M
kalshi · KXBUILDPERMS-26JUL17-T1.250
Above 1.300M
kalshi · KXBUILDPERMS-26JUL17-T1.300
Above 1.350M
kalshi · KXBUILDPERMS-26JUL17-T1.350
Above 1.400M
kalshi · KXBUILDPERMS-26JUL17-T1.400
Above 1.450M
kalshi · KXBUILDPERMS-26JUL17-T1.450
Above 1.500M
kalshi · KXBUILDPERMS-26JUL17-T1.500
Above 1.550M
kalshi · KXBUILDPERMS-26JUL17-T1.550
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.