US existing home sales for June 2026 above 4.20M
Above 4.20M is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 8 inside Will US existing home sales for June 2026 be above.
Price history
35¢ current
−14¢Contract brief
If US existing home sales for June 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, millions of homes) is above 4.20M, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 4.20M
Rank
#5 of 8
Leader
Above 3.80M 93¢
Range
6¢-93¢
Family volume
$7
Identifier
KXEHSALES-26JUL09-T4.20
Jun 24, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
32¢
Ask
38¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$310
Family rank
#5 of 8
8 outcomes · Will US existing home sales for June 2026 be above
Closes
Jul 9, 2026
Family volume
$7
Orderbook snapshot
32 / 38¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If US existing home sales for June 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, millions of homes) is above 4.20M, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 9, 2026
Identifier
KXEHSALES-26JUL09-T4.20
Event family
Will US existing home sales for June 2026 be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Above 3.80M 93¢
Current share
0%
Above 3.80M
kalshi · KXEHSALES-26JUL09-T3.80
Above 3.90M
kalshi · KXEHSALES-26JUL09-T3.90
Above 4.00M
kalshi · KXEHSALES-26JUL09-T4.00
Above 4.10M
kalshi · KXEHSALES-26JUL09-T4.10
Above 4.20M
kalshi · KXEHSALES-26JUL09-T4.20
Above 4.30M
kalshi · KXEHSALES-26JUL09-T4.30
Above 4.40M
kalshi · KXEHSALES-26JUL09-T4.40
Above 4.50M
kalshi · KXEHSALES-26JUL09-T4.50
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.