SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 31, 2027601 days left

Will US test scores in Math decline?

This contract is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

29¢
$10K volume
$6K liquidity
22036% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$46

Best sibling

Significant decrease 70¢

Ticker

KXUSTESTSMATH-26-NSD

Market snapshot

No significant difference in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will US test scores in Math decline?. The displayed quote is 29¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $38. In the Will US test scores in Math decline family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

No significant difference

Family rank

#2 of 3

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

29¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2027

24h volume

$38

Family context

3 outcomes · Will US test scores in Math decline

Quote range

4¢-70¢

Family leader

Significant decrease 70¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: KXUSTESTSMATH-26-NSD. Family volume: $46.

Price history

29¢ current

6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 29¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
25¢505
21¢220
5¢55
5¢1.0K
5¢33
AskSize
29¢500
61¢43
67¢767
68¢6
78¢180

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If US average test scores for eighth graders experienced No significant difference in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2027

Identifier

KXUSTESTSMATH-26-NSD

Event family

Will US test scores in Math decline.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$46

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Significant decrease 70¢

Current share

83%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

182.1%

IY (No)

20.2%

Adj IY

91%

CRI

3

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

data_release

Full indicator table

182.1%
20.2%
Adj IY
91%
3
Overround
-0.0%

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