SimpleFunctions

USC · KXNCAAMBBIG10-27

USC is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 29¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside KXNCAAMBBIG10-27.

Price history

28¢ current

25¢30¢
Sep 21, 2026Sep 21, 2026

Contract brief

If USC is the 2027 Men's College Basketball Big Ten conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

USC

Rank

#1 of 9

Leader

USC 28¢

Range

3¢-28¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNCAAMBBIG10-27-USC

Sep 21, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

28¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 21, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

Ask

29¢

Spread

29¢

Reported volume

$34

Family rank

#1 of 9

9 outcomes · KXNCAAMBBIG10-27

Closes

Mar 28, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 29¢

Kalshi
29¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
29¢234
33¢44
34¢9.1K
39¢13
40¢9.9K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If USC is the 2027 Men's College Basketball Big Ten conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 28, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAMBBIG10-27-USC

SF Signal
SF Index
248.94
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

497.9%

IY (No)

75.3%

Adj IY

249%

CRI

3

Overround

0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

497.9%
75.3%
Adj IY
249%
3
Overround
0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.