SimpleFunctions

Utah Royals FC · KXNWSL-26

Utah Royals FC is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 13 inside KXNWSL-26.

Price history

10¢ current

10¢
Jul 25, 2026Jul 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the Utah Royals FC are the 2026 NWSL Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Utah Royals FC

Rank

#6 of 13

Leader

Washington Spirit 23¢

Range

1¢-23¢

Family volume

$100

Identifier

KXNWSL-26-URO

Jul 25, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

10¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 25, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

15¢

Spread

Reported volume

$306

Family rank

#6 of 13

13 outcomes · KXNWSL-26

Closes

Dec 6, 2026

Family volume

$100

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 15¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
10¢136
9¢1
AskSize
15¢420
30¢70
65¢816
70¢200
85¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Utah Royals FC are the 2026 NWSL Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 6, 2026

Identifier

KXNWSL-26-URO

SF Signal
SF Index
1232.31
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2464.6%

IY (No)

30.4%

Adj IY

1232%

CRI

9

Overround

0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2464.6%
30.4%
Adj IY
1232%
9
Overround
0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.