Vahn Lackey · KXMLBDRAFTPICK-26-3
Vahn Lackey is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside KXMLBDRAFTPICK-26-3.
Price history
38¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If Vahn Lackey is selected as the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 Pro Baseball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Vahn Lackey
Rank
#1 of 7
Leader
Vahn Lackey 30¢
Range
1¢-30¢
Family volume
$50
Identifier
KXMLBDRAFTPICK-26-3-VLAC
Jun 26, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
30¢
Ask
34¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$13
Family rank
#1 of 7
7 outcomes · KXMLBDRAFTPICK-26-3
Closes
Jul 21, 2026
Family volume
$50
Orderbook snapshot
30 / 34¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Vahn Lackey is selected as the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 Pro Baseball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 21, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBDRAFTPICK-26-3-VLAC
Event family
KXMLBDRAFTPICK-26-3.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$50
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Vahn Lackey 30¢
Current share
25%
Vahn Lackey
kalshi · KXMLBDRAFTPICK-26-3-VLAC
Grady Emerson
kalshi · KXMLBDRAFTPICK-26-3-GEME
Drew Burress
kalshi · KXMLBDRAFTPICK-26-3-DBUR
Jackson Flora
kalshi · KXMLBDRAFTPICK-26-3-JFLO
Jacob Lombard
kalshi · KXMLBDRAFTPICK-26-3-JLOM
Roch Cholowsky
kalshi · KXMLBDRAFTPICK-26-3-RCHO
Justin Lebron
kalshi · KXMLBDRAFTPICK-26-3-JLEB
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.