SimpleFunctions

Virginia Tech · KXNCAAFACCQUAL-26

Virginia Tech is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 12 inside KXNCAAFACCQUAL-26.

Price history

17¢ current

+13¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jul 29, 2026Aug 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Virginia Tech qualifies for the 2026 College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Virginia Tech

Rank

#6 of 12

Leader

Miami (FL) 64¢

Range

1¢-64¢

Family volume

$83

Identifier

KXNCAAFACCQUAL-26-VT

Aug 27, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

17¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

15¢

Spread

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#6 of 12

12 outcomes · KXNCAAFACCQUAL-26

Closes

Jan 10, 2027

Family volume

$83

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 15¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
10¢1
9¢10
5¢188
4¢439
AskSize
15¢250
30¢91
44¢200
49¢200
54¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Virginia Tech qualifies for the 2026 College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 10, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFACCQUAL-26-VT

SF Signal
SF Index
1204.45
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2408.9%

IY (No)

29.7%

Adj IY

1204%

CRI

9

Overround

0.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2408.9%
29.7%
Adj IY
1204%
9
Overround
0.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.