Will Walmart advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Walmart · KXWCADS-26JUL19
Will Walmart advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Walmart is priced at 93¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 50¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 42¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXWCADS-26JUL19.
Price history
93¢ current
+44¢Contract brief
If Walmart aired at least one qualifying advertisement during the official broadcast of 2026 World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Walmart advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Walmart
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Will DoorDash advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: DoorDash 88¢
Range
14¢-88¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXWCADS-26JUL19-WALM
Jun 25, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
50¢
Ask
92¢
Spread
42¢
24h volume
$180
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCADS-26JUL19
Closes
Jul 19, 2027
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
50 / 92¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Walmart aired at least one qualifying advertisement during the official broadcast of 2026 World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 19, 2027
Identifier
KXWCADS-26JUL19-WALM
Event family
KXWCADS-26JUL19.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Will DoorDash advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: DoorDash 88¢
Current share
6%
Will DoorDash advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: DoorDash
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-DOOR
Will Nike advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Nike
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-NIKE
Will Modelo advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Modelo
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-MODE
Will Pepsi advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Pepsi
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-PEPS
Will Gemini advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Gemini
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-GEMI
Will Ford advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Ford
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-FORD
Will Apple advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Apple
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-APPL
Will Disney advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Disney
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-DISN
Will Lego advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Lego
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-LEGO
Will Netflix advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Netflix
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-NETF
Will Walmart advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Walmart
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-WALM
Will Gatorade advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Gatorade
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-GATO
Will OpenAI / ChatGPT advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: OpenAI / ChatGPT
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-OPEN
Will Anthropic / Claude advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Anthropic / Claude
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-ANTH
Will Coinbase advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Coinbase
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-COIN
Will Geico advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Geico
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-GEIC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.