SimpleFunctions

Washington · KXNBASOUTHEAST-26

Washington is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 5 inside KXNBASOUTHEAST-26.

Price history

6¢ current

+4¢
0¢5¢10¢
Jul 1, 2026Jul 16, 2026

Contract brief

If Washington is the Southeast Division winner in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Washington

Rank

#5 of 5

Leader

Miami 40¢

Range

4¢-40¢

Family volume

$94

Identifier

KXNBASOUTHEAST-26-WAS

Jul 20, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

6¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 20, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$78

Family rank

#5 of 5

5 outcomes · KXNBASOUTHEAST-26

Closes

Jul 14, 2027

Family volume

$94

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 6¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢150
4¢500
3¢1.1K
2¢250
AskSize
6¢22
7¢500
8¢250
9¢1.0K
10¢503

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Washington is the Southeast Division winner in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 14, 2027

Identifier

KXNBASOUTHEAST-26-WAS

SF Signal
SF Index
1221.42
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNBASOUTHEAST-26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$94

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Miami 40¢

Current share

83%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2442.8%

IY (No)

4.2%

Adj IY

1221%

CRI

24

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2442.8%
4.2%
Adj IY
1221%
24
Overround
-0.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.