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Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 above 280,000 jobs

Above 280,000 jobs is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 10 inside Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 2.

Price history

4¢ current

6¢
0¢10¢
Aug 18, 2026Aug 20, 2026

Contract brief

If BLS reports Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 is above 280,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 280,000 jobs

Rank

#10 of 10

Leader

Above 240,000 jobs 96¢

Range

4¢-96¢

Family volume

$25K

Identifier

KXWATECHEMP-27FEB28-T280000

Aug 24, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

4¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 24, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$10K

Family rank

#10 of 10

10 outcomes · Will Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 be above 2

Closes

Feb 28, 2027

Family volume

$25K

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 5¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.2K
4¢64K
2¢984
AskSize
5¢41K
54¢32
55¢2.8K
72¢482
98¢120

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If BLS reports Washington statewide seasonally adjusted employment in Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services for December 2026 is above 280,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 28, 2027

Identifier

KXWATECHEMP-27FEB28-T280000

SF Signal
SF Index
2323.18
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4646.4%

IY (No)

8.1%

Adj IY

2323%

CRI

24

Overround

4.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4646.4%
8.1%
Adj IY
2323%
24
Overround
4.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.