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Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 above 90,000 jobs

Above 90,000 jobs is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 13 inside Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above.

Price history

5¢ current

1¢
0¢5¢10¢
Aug 20, 2026Aug 22, 2026

Contract brief

If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 90,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 90,000 jobs

Rank

#10 of 13

Leader

Above 80,000 jobs 97¢

Range

2¢-97¢

Family volume

$38K

Identifier

KXWAAEROEMP-27APR30-T90000

Aug 24, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 41m ago

Implied probability

5¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 24, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 41m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$4K

Family rank

#10 of 13

13 outcomes · Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above

Closes

Apr 30, 2027

Family volume

$38K

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 6¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.1K
5¢42K
4¢100
3¢200
2¢35
AskSize
6¢16K
69¢3.5K
70¢6
93¢200
98¢30

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 90,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Apr 30, 2027

Identifier

KXWAAEROEMP-27APR30-T90000

SF Signal
SF Index
1391.44
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2782.9%

IY (No)

7.7%

Adj IY

1391%

CRI

19

Overround

4.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2782.9%
7.7%
Adj IY
1391%
19
Overround
4.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.